In this exclusive interview with ‘India Global Business,’ Neeraj Seth, Managing Director and Head of Asian Credit, BlackRock, India discusses the factors driving the firm’s investment decisions in the Indian market, the prospects for India’s asset class in the next five years and the company’s commitment to sustainable investing.
How does BlackRock view India as a post-Covid investment destination?
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When you look at India from a macro perspective, what are the factors that drive your investment decisions?
When we think of any geographical location, and certainly this is true for India as well, the key is to look at it through a combination of macro, top-down and bottom-up investment opportunities. From a top-down perspective, we look at a combination of political stability, macroeconomic stability and the broader policy mix that we would expect. Obviously, the different parts of it feed into different investment decision- making. In the case of India, specific decision making, and specifically post 2013 taper tantrum, we have seen a meaningful improvement in terms of the broader political and macroeconomic and policy mix. To a certain extent we’ve also seen some reforms which are important from a forward-looking perspective such as GST and the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC). We are, therefore, looking at these closely in terms of forming our view as we go forward from an investment perspective. In terms of the credit investment part of my responsibility in the region, and I also oversee that for our India part of the portfolio, the bottom-up opportunity assessment, in terms of the credit risk, is very important. We have seen some improvement over the course of the last few years – the overall shift from the IBC perspective. So, it’s an area we are still closely monitoring. We do have meaningful exposure today and we continue to use the opportunity to grow our exposure in the country.
What are some of the Indian sectors BlackRock is currently looking at from an investment point of view?
We are sector agnostic. There are two important lenses here that we would think about. First, is the longer term impact of Covid-19 and how that plays out in certain sectors, which actually guides your thought process and decision making in terms of how do you gain exposure in the sectors, where you see a benefit of the new normal post-Covid, and which are the sectors that have longer-term negative impact. So, we don’t necessarily have a sector tilt or a specific sector which we would not look at, but certainly, I think there’s an important lens from the Covid perspective that we are updating as we talk.
Neeraj Seth believes that as more and more global allocators start to look into the concept of sustainability the flow of capital and risk premium will start to change.
The second aspect is more from a sustainability and ESG perspective which is also becoming more and more important for our global platform. We do have certain exclusions, more specifically, sectors like thermal coal, we did make a conscious choice from a global platform perspective to have that as an exclusion. So, there is an additional filter from an investment lens that you’re looking at that you think about the different sectors. For us, the key is the investment opportunities and the risk adjustable returns are the critical aspects of decision-making in investment.
How do you think sustainable investing will evolve over the years ahead and what do you think is important to the clients in this area?
How do you see the prospects for India’s asset class in the next five years?
Employment generation will be key for India to maintain its sustainable growth trajectory.
What are your thoughts on the flurry of investment and FDI inflows especially into the Indian tech sector? How should one view this? With cautious optimism or a pinch of salt?
I would take a balanced view. On the positive side it is important to highlight that technology underpins a lot of the value creation, wealth generation and development. In my mind, that’s something unambiguous. Technology is critical for commerce, business, growth and even national security for that matter. India is actually benefiting in terms of having a good ecosystem, domestic infrastructure and having the ability to attract foreign capital. I do think that more investments bring further strength to the existing ecosystem and infrastructure in the country. On the other hand, I also want to highlight that technology is not actually the source of the biggest job creation. It has a positive impact on the services sector, sure, but India has a very strong demographic dividend. The question still remains, if we look at the next ten years, what exactly does the government need to focus on and what can they do in terms of structural reforms to create job opportunities for the country’s demographic dividend. As in the absence of job growth you get the other side of the coin which is having a large young population and a low level of employment causing social issues. So, as I said, it should be a balanced view. The technology sector and the FDI it is attracting is a positive but there is a lot more that has to be done in order to generate employment for the country to be on a sustainable growth trajectory.
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